Rationale (Changed due to Same category and criteria)
The Nile crocodile was regionally listed as Vulnerable (A2ac) in South Africa due to declines in estimated total population size of more than 30 % over three generations (estimated at 144 years) (Marais and Bates 2013). Although there is no comprehensive population estimate available for the entire South African Nile crocodile population as of 2017, counts of two of the major subpopulations have been conducted since the last assessment in 2014. Summing recent figures for the Kruger National Park (S. Ferreira, SANParks pers. comm. 2017) and KwaZulu-Natal (Warner et al. 2016) yields an estimate of at least 5,389 non-hatchling Nile crocodiles. This figure is roughly 1,000 individuals less than the 2013 estimate but excludes numerous smaller populations. It is inferred that the total population number for South Africa in 2017 is not significantly reduced from the 2013 estimate although some Protected Areas have seen ongoing declines others have stabilized or increased slightly. This indicates that the 30 % decline over three generations still holds although the population is stable at this point in time. The environmental and ecological conditions that gave rise to the outbreak of pansteatitis in the Kruger National Park may be exacerbated by an invasion of silver carp (Huchzermeyer 2012, Huchzermeyer et al. 2013, but also see Huchzermeyer et al. 2017) and although mitigated by good rains (D. Pienaar, SANParks pers. comm. 2017) are an ongoing threat regardless of causal mechanism. Due to this and reports of persecution (V. Egan, Limpopo Economic Development, Environment and Tourism pers. comm. 2017) the decline in habitat quality is also considered to be a current threat. Thus the assessment of the regional population of Nile crocodile as Vulnerable A2ac is still applicable.