Population trend
Trend
The Southern Bushbuck reaches high densities in localised areas of favourable habitat. Aerial and ground surveys undoubtedly underestimate population density; estimating Southern Bushbuck density with accuracy and precision is difficult as they are usually nocturnal, solitary, secretive and inhabit thick bush (Jacobsen 1974, von Gadow 1978, Schmidt 1983, Allen-Rowlandson 1986, Seydack et al. 1998). For example, in Shongweni Dam and Game Reserve, KwaZulu-Natal, a variety of count methods (conducted between 2002 and 2003) revealed density estimates ranging from 2.9 ± 0.2 to 21.2 ± 1.3 animals / ha (Coates and Downs 2007), where mark-recapture underestimated density and the high costs involved in capturing and marking animals rendered this method inadequate. Therefore, drive counts and mark-recapture were not considered to be appropriate for monitoring the subpopulation, whereas distance sampling is more. promising if the assumptions are met (Coates and Downs 2007). Similarly, sampling has generally been conducted during winter when using sighting efforts, as visibility at this time of the year is best (Schmidt 1983, Allen-Rowlandson 1986, Marchant 1991). However, Southern Bushbuck may be more likely to be uniformly dispersed during spring, and thus this may be a more appropriate season for sampling (sensu Lannoy et al. 2003).
East (1999) estimated the total African population of bushbuck at 1,340,000, which is likely an underestimate. Their numbers are considered stable over considerable parts of the range, but are decreasing in densely settled regions. Within the assessment region, there are at least 5,422 Southern Bushbuck occurring on 257 protected areas and wildlife ranches across the country (2013â2014 counts; Endangered Wildlife Trust unpubl. data). However, this is likely to be an undercount for the reasons listed above. The largest subpopulation exists in Kruger National Park (KNP), inferred to be c. 500 individuals (2009 count) from ranger experience (Ferreira et al. 2013). There were inferred to be 15 and 10 (2010 count) in Marakele and Mapungubwe National Parks, respectively (Ferreira et al. 2013). In Garden Route National Park, Western Cape Province, density was estimated (from pellet counts) to be 1.6 ± 1.1 animals / km2 (2011 count), but no individuals were recorded in Agulhas or Bontebok National Parks in 2013 (Ferreira et al. 2013). There is a subpopulation of c. 30 in Addo Elephant National Park, Eastern Cape Province (Ferreira et al. 2013). They occur at low frequencies in several protected areas in North West Province (Nel 2015). Southern Bushbuck occur extensively outside protected areas too. For example, Power (2014) estimated that at least 2,447 animals existed on private lands in North West Province in 2010. Overall, we assume the population is stable as there is no evidence for decline and its extensive reintroduction onto game farms will presumably be increasing the overall population. However, further field surveys and monitoring should attempt to quantify subpopulation trends over three generations, which is calculated to be 15.7 years (Pacifici et al. 2013), from across its range.