Rationale
The nearâendemic Southern Mountain Reedbuck is widely but patchily distributed within the assessment region, restricted to rocky and grassy hillsides. Over three generations (1998â2013), there has been an estimated decline of 61% in 32 formally protected areas across its entire range (and thus broadly representative of trends for all subpopulations), where only 10 protected areas are stable or increasing. This equates to an estimated decline in abundance from 6,393 to 2,504 individuals in the sampled protected areas (representing c. 17% of the counted population on both formally protected and private lands). Analysing only the 19 protected areas with count data available for the full time period (thus omitting extrapolation of subpopulation size), the estimated population reduction is 73% (4,396 to 1,184 individuals). Of particular concern is the decline in the two Northern Cape protected areas where the estimated population size of 1,862 in 1998 declined to 179 in 2013. Thus, based on available data from formally protected areas, we list this subspecies as Endangered A2b due to an estimated population decline of 61â73% on all protected areas for which there are long-term count data available. While Mountain Reedbuck are difficult to survey accurately, we assume systemic error is constant in the counts and thus this represents a genuine decline. Although there are many subpopulations existing on private land, and long-term monitoring is needed to quantify subpopulation trends outside of protected areas, anecdotal reports suggest similar declines and we suspect threats are similar or more intense outside protected areas and thus privately protected subpopulations are probably not mitigating the losses on formally protected areas. Once such data are available, this subspecies should be reassessed as the trends may corroborate the current existing decline or conversely be mitigating losses in formally protected areas (and thus justify downlisting). From available data, the current (2013) minimum mature population size is estimated to be 10,214â13,669 individuals on both formally protected and private land. Thus, Mountain Reedbuck does not qualify for the C criterion.
It is uncertain why the population has declined so dramatically and research quantifying potential threats is desperately needed. Current hypotheses include increased predation rates, possibly from higher abundances of Black-backed Jackal (Canis mesomelas) and Caracal (Caracal caracal) possibly associated with lack of holistic land management, increased frequency of drought spells, break-outs from protected areas, and illegal hunting, directly or indirectly, for bushmeat or sport. It is crucial that conservationists gather enough information to develop a Biodiversity Management Plan and engage with private landowners to implement identified interventions.
Regional population effects: This subspecies has a disjunct distribution between the assessment region and the rest of its African range. It occurs marginally in Botswana and Mozambique but no other neighbouring countries and thus no rescue effect is possible. The Botswana subpopulation may be isolated from South Africa, but separation between subpopulations has not been measured, and would likely be a function of the connectedness of rugged terrain and watersheds.