Rationale
The Red Squirrel has a restricted and fragmented range within the assessment region. Although existing at the edge of its range, it is common in suitable habitats and occurs in well-protected forest reserves, such as iSimangaliso Wetland Park, Ongoye Forest Reserve, Mhkuze Game Reserve and Ndumo Game Reserve. Although the northern KwaZulu-Natal forests are largely secure, there is a continuing decline in natural habitat (19.7% loss of natural habitat in KwaZulu-Natal from 1994 to 2011, with an average loss of 1.2% per annum), with the losses mainly occurring in small (< 0.5 ha) forest patches. Additionally, habitat degradation from human encroachment (from 2000 to 2013, there was a 5.6% and 1.1% rate of urban and rural expansion, respectively, in the province), such as fuelwood extraction, may indicate a continuing decline in habitat quality along protected area edges if large canopy gaps are produced. Thus, although habitat loss and degradation are unlikely to be affecting the core protected population, there is still an inferred absolute ongoing decline in suitable habitat. Overall, the estimated extent of occurrence (EOO) is 12,232 km2 (or 6,511 km2 if we exclude the Ngoye Forest subpopulation) and the area of occupancy (AOO) (based on remaining forest patches) is 453â721 km2. Although the species qualifies for Vulnerable B1,2ab(ii,iii), we downlist to Near Threatened B1,2ab(ii,iii) based on the rescue effect (see below).Although molecular research is needed to resolve the taxonomy of this potential species complex, the Ngoye Forest subpopulation is suspected to be a source of genetic diversity and warrants special attention. The Ngoye Forest subpopulation is restricted to one location with an AOO of 31â35 km2 and an estimated total number of mature individuals of 13,392â15,120. Although there has been no net decline in the area under formal protection, excessive fires, leading to increased patchiness of the forest, specifically on the forest periphery and extending outwards of the formally protected area, have occurred within recent years. This indiscriminate burning is resulting in increased alien plant infestation and habitat transformation, which may reduce the available habitat for the Ngoye Forest subpopulation. Ngoye Red Squirrels are rare or absent in such areas and further research is needed to determine whether such degradation is causing subpopulation decline, the results of which will require reassessment as the subpopulation may qualify for Critically Endangered B1,2ab(iii). Recent research suggests that current levels of fuelwood harvesting do not affect canopy structure, but increased harvesting levels will threaten the forest structure. Thus, we list as Vulnerable D2, with the proviso that wood harvesting and fire levels should be closely monitored and managed. As such, this subpopulation remains conservation dependent.
Interventions for this species include protected area expansion to connect forest fragments and enforcement on regulation to prevent disturbances and degradation inside existing forests. If P. p. tongensis is proved to be restricted to Maputaland then it will need reassessment. We recommend molecular research to resolve the complicated taxonomy of this potential species complex within the assessment region.
Regional population effects: Dispersal is possible through the northern border of KwaZulu-Natal into Mozambique, particularly through the Lubombo Transfrontier Conservation and Resource Area. Habitat is largely connected in these areas, especially as the species is an adequate disperser and can use secondary habitats. The species is also very common throughout the rest of its range. For example, it is abundant in Maputo Elephant Reserve and throughout the iSimangaliso Wetland Park. However, the Ngoye subpopulation may be isolated from the rest of the species, but not enough is known about its dispersal ability.