Rationale (Changed due to New Information)
This species occurs widely but sparsely in northeastern South Africa with an extent of occurrence of 64,798 km2 . It is often sympatric at roost sites with other Miniopterus species, yet occurs in lower densities (typically only 5% the abundance of Miniopterus natalensis). Thus, it may be overlooked and occur more widely than thought. There are no major identified threats but as it occurs predominantly outside protected areas, disturbance to cave roosts (which makes it vulnerable to local extinctions) and agricultural transformation depleting its insect prey base may be causing localised declines. Additionally, although its current known distribution does not overlap with planned wind farm developments, the discovery of new subpopulations may reveal wind farms as an emerging threat. This species would qualify as Vulnerable C2a(i) but subpopulations are not significantly fragmented as they have relatively high wing-loading. As subpopulations typically comprise c. 50 individuals and this species is known from only five localities, there is an inferred minimum population size of 250 individuals. However, this is an underestimate and field surveys are required to identify as yet undetected subpopulations. Total mature population size is unlikely to be significantly more than 1,000 individuals. Thus, we list as Near Threatened C2a(i) and D1. Additionally, since it is almost certainly a species complex and may thus be revealed to be a South African or southern African endemic, we do not know the true range of the species. As such, this species should be reassessed pending further population data and taxonomic resolution.Regional population effects: It has a relatively high wingloading (Norberg and Rayner 1987) and thus dispersal is likely. However, it is sparsely distributed throughout its range and so significant rescue effects are uncertain.