Rationale (Changed due to Same category but change in criteria)
The Sable Antelope is a charismatic species on the edge of its range within the assessment region. The current free-roaming population within the natural distribution range is estimated at 681 individuals, of which 409â477 are mature. There is a continuing decline in at least three major subpopulations and the largest subpopulation is estimated as 385 (231â270 mature; 2012 count) individuals in Kruger National Park (KNP). For 10 subpopulations within the natural distribution range, for which we have long term data, there has been an overall decline by an estimated 65% over three generations (1991â2015), primarily due to the decline in KNP. Further long-term datasets are needed to calculate historical population trends more accurately. Given that the decline in KNP is largely understood, and that the threat has been removed and the subpopulation is now stable, we list Sable Antelope as Vulnerable A1ab. However, habitat deterioration is probable in the future due to habitat degradation from mismanagement and climate change, we infer and project a continuing decline in mature individuals at the subpopulation level. Sable Antelope is thus also listed as Vulnerable under C2a(i) and D1. This species may qualify for Endangered under C1 if research projects show that the number of mature individuals will decrease by 20% over the next 14 years (two generations' time) or C2a(i) if the number of mature individuals in KNP is shown to be below 250.The population estimate does not include formally and privately protected areas outside the natural distribution range. If it is argued that such subpopulations are the result of benign introductions and exist in similar habitat to the natural range, the total number of mature individuals is 643â857. Additionally, there is an estimated 6,995 individuals existing on private game farms and ranches within and outside the natural distribution range. However, only 2â10% of these individuals may be considered wild (at least 68% existing in breeding camps or exclosures) and thus the total that could be currently eligible for the Red List ranges from 84â490 mature individuals, thus bringing the total estimate of the wild and free roaming population to 818â1,346 mature individuals. Surveys should identify further private subpopulations that qualify for inclusion in the Red List and that may contribute to downlisting the species in future. Key interventions should focus on correct habitat management for the species (for example, de-stocking competing herbivores, reducing artificially high predator numbers, and fire management), increasing overall habitat available within the natural distribution range and developing a national metapopulation plan for sustaining the genetic diversity and resilience of the species. Conservationists should facilitate the formation of conservancies and incentivise the establishment of free-roaming private subpopulations over captive-bred animals.
Regional population effects: Although the range of this species is on the edge of the assessment region, its range is not continuous. Private and state subpopulations are isolated since they are surrounded by fences. The only dispersal routes that might exist are between KNP, Zimbabwe and Mozambique (the Greater Limpopo Transfrontier Park). However, based on the small subpopulation size in KNP, immigration appears to be negligible and there is no confirmation that it actually takes place. Thus, although the regional population is not expected to be a sink for the global population, there is unlikely to be a rescue effect from immigration so the Vulnerable listing remains.