A population estimate conducted during the late 1990s (mainly from aerial surveys) revealed an approximate global abundance of 1,298,000 C. taurinus (East 1999), with the SerengetiâMara migratory population constituting 70% of that population (IUCN SSC Antelope Specialist Group 2016). Of these, 150,000 were estimated to be C.t., half of which were in protected areas, and one quarter in conservancies or on private land (Estes 2013). More recently, however, the most current global population estimate of Common Wildebeest is approximately 1,550,000 individuals, largely attributed to the recovery of the SerengetiâMara population to approximately 1,300,000 (Estes & East 2009). Recent subspecies estimates include 130,000 C. t. taurinus, 5,000â10,000 C. t. cooksoni, and 50,000â75,000 C. t. johnstoni (Estes 2013). A decline in the C. t. albojubatus population has revealed a current estimate of 6,000â8,000 individuals (Estes & East 2009).
East (1999) indicates that population densities estimated by aerial surveys range from less than 0.15 animals / km² in areas such as Kafue, Etosha, Hwange and the central and southern Kalahari, to 0.6â1.3 animals / km² in areas such as KNP, North Luangwa, Selous and Kajiado, and 3.6 animals / km² in Tarangire (IUCN SSC Antelope Specialist Group 2016). Recent total counts in areas where the species is abundant have produced population density estimates as high as 34â35 animals / km²; for example, in the Serengeti and Ngorongoro Crater (IUCN SSC Antelope Specialist Group 2016). Within the assessment region, the overall population is stable or increasing with an estimated population size of well over 10,000 mature individuals. In South African national parks (six areas) alone, there are an estimated 8,818â18,318 animals (2013 count; Ferreira et al. 2013). Across the country, on both formally protected areas and private lands, there were at least 44,689 animals in 2013 occurring on 648 protected areas of wildlife ranches (Endangered Wildlife Trust unpubl. data). This total is reduced to 42,450 on 552 properties by only including areas within the natural distribution, which equates to 29,715 mature animals assuming a 70% mature population structure. Our population estimate is similar to that estimated in 2005 of approximately 40,000 to 45,000 (Estes & East 2009). At the time of the 2005 assessment the South African population was deemed to be increasing (Estes & East 2009). The largest subpopulation occurs on KNP, with the most recent estimate being 6,058â10,896 animals in 2012 (Ferreira et al. 2013). The subspecies is especially numerous on private land: for example, while there are more than 3,600 individuals in North West Parks alone, there are a further 17,000 animals on private land in the province (Power 2014). Unfortunately, the numbers of both Black and Blue Wildebeest on all private properties is unknown. The occupancy of Blue Wildebeest is suspected to be an under-estimate.
Generation length has been calculated as 8 years (Pacifici et al. 2013), which yields a 24 year three generation period (1991â2015). Most subpopulations on protected areas have increased over this period (for example; Nel 2015; Ferreira et al. 2016).
Historically, there have been substantial declines in private subpopulations (for example, in the Associated Private Nature Reserves, west of KNP), as well as in the western parts of the KNP due to fencing restricting movement during periods of drought (Walker et al. 1987), which may counterbalance increases in other subpopulations. The subpopulation in the KTP fluctuates considerably depending on local climatic variation and predation levels. Even so, the subpopulation is not expected to decline in the near future. Although most subpopulations in formally protected and private areas are fragmented and isolated due to fencing, the largest subpopulations (KTP and KNP) are free to follow local migrations, tracking recent rainfall. However, before the erection of fences these local migrations were much larger, with the KNP populations ranging to the foothills of the escarpment and those of KTP extending further into Botswana. Currently, many subpopulations are confined and forced to be sedentary, resulting in local declines in abundance (IUCN SSC Antelope Specialist Group 2016).