Rationale
Although the Brydeâs Whale complex may be split into a number of species or subspecies pending further genetic analyses, this assessment differentiates between an inshore and offshore form in South African waters, focusing most specifically on the inshore form. The coastal, inshore stock is suspected to consist of fewer than 1,000 mature individuals based on data from a 1982 line transect, ship-based survey that covered the known southern hemisphere summer distribution of the population and resulted in an estimate of 582 ± 184 animals where inclusion of secondary sightings might have increased this estimate by 29%. A mark recapture study in Plettenberg Bay produced an abundance estimate of between 150 and 250 individuals between 2005 and 2008, but how this relates to the total population is unknown. Based on the assumption that the population remains limited to fewer than 1,000 mature individuals, we list the inshore population as Vulnerable D1.There are currently no assessments available for the offshore stock, which was exploited by land-based whalers from at least 1911 to 1967 as an integral part of the catch, and more extensively between 1969 and 1976 by illegal unregulated pelagic whaling. Being largely restricted to the southern African shelf edge from Cape Point to at least the equator; its environment is likely to have been exposed to oil and gas exploration activities for the last two decades. Given the suspected effects of seismic surveys on fish, it is possible (but completely unsupported by any data) that prey availability to this population may have been adversely affected. There are no population estimates either before or after exploitation or indications of trend and the offshore stock must be listed as Data Deficient.
This assessment echoes the global situation where the taxonomy (number and identity of species) is not yet resolved. If there is more than one species, the less abundant species may be threatened. If it is all one species, then it should be reclassified as Least Concern. Taxonomic resolution and current estimates of population size and trends for both forms are required and should result in a reassessment once such data are available.
Regional population effects: Currently, the inshore form is thought to exhibit non-migratory behaviour, and remains year-round over the continental shelf of South Africa (Best 2001); while the offshore form, occurring off the west coast of Southern Africa, appears to migrate northwards in autumn (Best 2001). There are no apparent barriers to the dispersal of either population.