Rationale
Cape Clawless Otters are widespread, but patchily distributed, within the assessment region. The most likely population estimate ranges from 21,500 to 30,276 individuals, of which 11,825â19,377 can be considered mature (using 55â64% mature structure). However, systematic density estimates are needed to more accurately estimate population size and this species should be reassessed once such data are available. While most subpopulations may currently be stable, future trends in coastal and riverbank development, combined with climate change, may see significant declines for this species. Local declines are beginning to be documented, for example, there is some evidence that a river site in the Drakensberg, KwaZulu-Natal (KZN), has experienced a 75% decrease in Cape Clawless Otter density from 1993 to 2010. Similarly, there are estimated to be three times as many otters in peri-urban than urban areas in Gauteng Province, indicating that disturbed rivers are less suitable for this species. Both examples illustrate reduction in abundance with riparian habitat transformation, pollution, and disturbance. A decline in habitat suitability is also expected. For example, in South Africaâs dry interior, increased pumping of water from persistent pools in ephemeral rivers is expected to lead to more river stretches being drier for longer periods, impacting on prey availability, dispersal and social interactions between otter groups/local subpopulations. While the construction of more weirs may create more bodies of permanent or near permanent water, these impact negatively on river ecosystems and are therefore also expected to impact on the Cape Clawless Otter subpopulations. The effect of damming thus needs to be researched. Similarly, canalisation of rivers will negatively impact otter occurrence, possibly due to a reduction in both food (due to a lack of substrate) and shelter (due to a lack of riparian vegetation). Further research such as collaring and tracking, behavioural studies, and habitat disturbance impact studies are necessary to monitor potential local declines from across the speciesâ range. Establishment of long-term monitoring sites to measure subpopulation trends, and implementation of appropriate effective management, are essential to prevent a further decline in the number of individuals. Using a precautionary purview, we uplist this species to Near Threatened C2a(i) as the population is not estimated to be much more than 10,000 mature individuals, no subpopulation is likely to have over 1,000 mature individuals and there is an inferred continuing decline in occupancy. However, contemporary density estimates are required from across the speciesâ range to calculate overall population size more accurately. Similarly, establishing long-term monitoring sites will enable estimation of population trends in different regions. Once these data are available a reassessment should be done.Riverside, wetland and coastal habitats must be protected to allow otters sufficient breeding and foraging environments necessary for them to persist and disperse between habitats. Occupancy sign surveys provide a rapid, cost-effective method for method for monitoring changes in otter occupancy that could be implemented by the relevant management authorities at local or provincial scales.
Regional population effects: The range is continuous with the rest of Africa and as they can travel long distances there is suspected to be dispersal between regions. There is a possibility for dispersal from neighbouring regions along watercourses and coastlines, but it is unknown if this is significant enough to lead to rescue effects.