Rationale
(Changed due to New Information)
This species is listed as Critically Endangered because its extent of occurrence (EOO) is 7 km2, its area of occupancy (AOO) is 0.06 km2, it is known from only three locations, combined with extreme fluctuations in the number of adult individuals, and a continuing decline in the area and quality of its habitat due to fire and post-fire impacts. Habitat degradation, as alien plant invasion increases the frequency and impact of fires, may lead to more dramatic population fluctuations.
Population trend
Trend
One of the three known subpopulations is monitored twice a year. This is the second largest of the three subpopulations and the largest number of calling males is estimated to be less than 50 individuals. Fire and post-fire impacts on number of mature individuals are expected to cause large fluctuations (approximately a five-fold change in abundance at the monitored site; A. Turner pers. comm. 2009) in subpopulation sizes, and the species as a whole is threatened due to the small number of locations. The fluctuations experienced by this species are so far are below the typically used 10-fold increase or decrease (IUCN 2001); however, a five-fold reduction in population size has been observed on two occasions, and it is expected that fires have the potential to reduce subpopulations by a factor of ten or more depending on the severity and timing of the fire.
The best suitable seeps within Groot Winterhoek Wilderness Area (25-30% of all seeps) have been surveyed. One possible location outside of this reserve might have this species, but it is inaccessible and not yet explored (A. Turner pers. comm. August 2016). There is limited suitable habitat outside of the reserve, notably to the immediate north, west and east (it needs montane seeps), and further south other members of the genus occupy suitable habitat. So it is likely to be confined to the Reserve.