Population trend
Trend
It appears to be genuinely rare. Since its description in 1925, it has been recorded approximately 25 times (Tarrant and Cunningham 2011). There are historical accounts which report large congregations of breeding adults, but this kind of activity has not been recorded since the 1980s. The species was not seen at all between 1998 and 2011 (despite repeated survey attempts during that period – 10 visits to suitable sites over 11 years between 1998–2009) but, between 2011–2015, seven adults and signs of breeding were recorded in the area of Hogsback, Amathole Forestry areas around Geika's Kop and Elandsberg (Tarrant and Cunningham 2011, Conradie and Tarrant 2011, J. Tarrant pers. comm. August 2016). It has not been detected at Winterberg since the 1970s and Katberg since 1981, with subsequent surveys in August 2010 (Katberg), September 2011 (Katberg), October 2012 (Winterberg) and March 2015 (Katberg) failing to record it (J. Tarrant pers. comm. August 2016). Quick surveys conducted at Katberg and Hogsback in April 2016 also did not detect the species (A. Rebelo pers. comm. August 2016). Taking this into account, the species could be locally extinct in Katberg and Winterberg; however, there has not been a huge concerted effort in surveying the western part of its range (J. Tarrant pers. comm. August 2016) and further surveys are warranted.
The population of this species is considered to be severely fragmented based on historical data as no one site holds >50% of individuals and the distances between subpopulations are considered to be too great for dispersal within one generation. Due to ongoing decline in the extent and quality of habitat, the population is suspected to be decreasing.